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8 defeats in a row.

Дата: 18.11.2015 12:03:22
View PostSlyspy, on 16 November 2015 - 01:06 PM, said:   Only that isn't quite right. Even if you discount personal ability (which you shouldn't) there isn't an even chance of getting each of those three results.

Ectar:   But I didn't say there was an equal chance.  I said you have 3 possible outcomes each time. At no point can you assume that you're always guaranteed to get a specific result.  10 draws in a row is unexpected but could be totally possible.  It's like trying to predict a coin toss result based on previous results. The previous results count for nothing. - Gamblers fallacy. 

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