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XVM "chance to win"? Meaningless

Дата: 04.02.2014 16:38:47
{lang:macro__view_post}La_Daga, on 04 February 2014 - 03:19 PM, said:   Question is: "How often do you see this"   I bet one in every five 80% games turns into a loss.   And prediction never says anything about how close the outcome is so if it is 15-14 or 15-0 is not included in the prediction.

Dakiras:   Not very often, because the only mod I use is the damage counter. As I said "(according to people complaining in chat about it)".   What I'm saying is that it's an arbitrary number that cannot predict what will happen in the game. Past experience does not mean that the same mistakes will be made, or that people do the same things they had previously. Perhaps the match-up of the various players in the teams works well, or there is a troll on the opposite team.   What win chance tends to do is create a psychological barrier, planting negativity in people's minds whether they're aware of it or not. Of course, without empirical psychological experiments - which would be a rather huge undertaking - it's hard to fully prove/disprove this assumption.

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