Is this Really Random?
Дата: 27.07.2021 21:42:12
umkhulu, on Jul 27 2021 - 11:28, said: To answer your question, I created a random team generator
against which to compare WoT's matchmaker teams. The results are
quit interesting.... The random team generator is an
algorithm which creates any number of randomly skilled opposing
teams and spits out the PR ratios for statistical evaluation. The
program simulates the proportion of players falling within each
skill bracket at Tier 8. (i.e. 5% Red, 37% Orange, 41% Yellow, 15%
Green, 2% Blue and 0.2% Purple) I have generated 4000
matches for comparison purposes, but the stats remain pretty much
the same no matter how many line-ups you simulate. Everything looks normal, but
it would seem that some bell curves are more normal than
others.....
As you can see, the WoT bell curve is altogether more 'compact'
with a standard deviation of only 3, a variance of 11 as opposed
135, and a positive kurtosis indicating less outliers. So,
the question now becomes, why is MM's random so different from
mine. I'm hoping that somebody has a reasoned explanation instead
of the normal scathing and meaningless comments!....
Hey_man_Gneis_shot: Thank you for the nice presentation and visual
graphs! Regarding Random Battles on a whole, especially from
the perspective of a mostly Tier V-VI player, I run into Tier VIII
battles quite frequently. No I do not run XVM and just play
the vanilla client. It "might" be helpful to look and see what type
of players I am going up against, but I don't trust just stats and
want to play according to what I know about the vehicles I'm going
up against. Just my advice but worry less about the other
teams stats and more about your position, your teammates, and if
you're spotted. "Never fear your enemy but always respect
them." - John Basilone, United States Marine Corps
Is this Really Random?